Australia’s East To Shiver Some More, With Widespread Snow Inbound; China Commissions New Icebreaker; WHOI To Start Risky Ocean Geoengineering Experiment Next Month; + Shifting Baseline Syndrome
Australia’s East To Shiver Some More, With Widespread Snow Inbound
Eastern Australia has been enduring a persistent, record-setting cold for weeks, and a new polar front is forecast to bring snow to large parts of the southeast next week.
Millions of Aussies are bracing for further frigid conditions commencing this weekend, as fresh polar winds ride north from Antarctica–which itself is currently enduring lows of sub -75C (-103F) at the likes of Vostok.
Sky News Australia Meteorologist Alison Osbourne noted that theme for Victoria, NSW, and Queensland will continue to be below-average cold. “A low-pressure system is deepening and cradling across the southern Tasman, while a high-pressure system remains slow-moving in the southern ocean,” she explained. “Strong, cold southerly winds will bring plenty of wet weather.”
By next Tuesday, ‘blues’ will have engulfed Eastern Australia, bringing chilling single-digit temperatures even in the afternoons. Southern Queensland, including the Darling Downs and Toowoomba, is preparing for its coldest days in years.
The Sunshine State might even see rare snow by Wednesday, while the Alpine regions of SE Australia are all-but guaranteed heavy snow next week, with accumulations also expected across the lower-elevated regions of NSW, Victoria, and Tasmania.
The Blue Mountains, the Southern, Central, and Northern Tablelands of NSW, elevated parts of the ACT, parts of Victoria outside the Alps, Tasmania outside mountainous areas, and even the Granite Belt of southern Queensland will all likely experience snowfall.
Weatherzone meteorologist Felix Levesque sees flurries in the Tablelands as early as Sunday night, with increasing snow through Tuesday. The snow level could drop below 1,000 m (3,280 ft) midweek, with snow hitting the Barrington Tops NW of Newcastle.
Antarctic air will drive single-digit daily highs to large areas, and south-easterly winds will push this cold air mass across much of the country, prolonging the snowy outbreak through next week.
A high-pressure system following the cold front will then keep much of eastern Australia in a prolonged cold spell, with temperatures remaining well-below historical norms for some time.
![](https://i0.wp.com/electroverse.info/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/gfs_T2ma_aus_fh102-174.gif?resize=640%2C513&ssl=1)
The NOAA HYSPLIT model output shows the backward trajectories of air masses ending on July 17, 2024.
The chart traces air masses from different altitudes (500 m, 1000 m, and 5000 m) back six days, revealing their origins over the Tasman Sea and New Zealand.
The model indicates a deep and high-amplitude airmass moving southeast to northeast, expected to deliver polar air mass as far north as SE Queensland, which would prove a notable event, possibly resulting in rare snows and record lows.
China Commissions New Icebreaker
China’s new polar research vessel, the Jidi (“Polar”), has been officially commissioned by the Ministry of Natural Resources, capable of breaking through one meter thick sea-ice. This advanced vessel is equipped with drones, unmanned ships, and underwater autonomous robots.
The Jidi, under construction since November 2022, was commissioned on July 5 after its journey from Nansha to Qingdao.
China’s investment in the icebreaker underscores its strategic interest in the Arctic, and also counters narratives that the region is melting away. Sea ice data shows a healthy ice presence, a trend of growth, necessitating robust icebreaking capabilities even during the summer months.
The Jidi’s ability to break through one-meter thick ice at a speed of 2 knots allows China to conduct summer operations in Arctic waters, supporting comprehensive observation and research of the atmosphere, sea ice, water bodies, and marine environments–so reads Beijing’s pitch at least. However, China’s expanding northern activities have raised concerns among Arctic nations, including the Nordic countries, Canada, and the U.S., who view China’s presence as a potential security threat.
Equipped with advanced marine survey technology, including a heavy-load fuel drone, the Jidi will indeed enhance China’s capacity to study the Arctic. This investment aligns with China’s self-designation as a near-Arctic state and its 2018 Arctic policy, which prioritizes climate research.
WHOI To Start Risky Ocean Geoengineering Experiment Next Month
Starting in August, the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) will conduct a controversial study on ocean alkalinity enhancement by dumping 20 metric tonnes of sodium hydroxide (lye) and 75 kilograms of tracer dye into waters southwest of Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard.
This experiment, called the “LOC-NESS” project, aims to raise ocean pH levels to combat acidification and enhance CO2 uptake, potentially reducing atmospheric carbon dioxide. But this approach ignores the significant risks posed to marine life.
Raising ocean pH can harm species that depend on stable CO2 levels, such as corals.
Environmental groups, including Friends of the Earth, have strongly criticized the project, comparing it to pouring 60,000 gallons of bleach into the ocean. They argue that the environmental risks are not justified, and criticize the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for permitting the experiment.
WHOI and the EPA claim that the study is safe and that the impacts will be minimal. They note that sodium hydroxide is commonly used in drinking water and baking and assert that it will not sink deeper than 10 m (33 ft). Despite these assurances, opponents are skeptical, warning that human interventions in natural systems often have unforeseen consequences.
This study represents a high-risk gamble with the health of marine ecosystems, with zero benefits. It exemplifies how likely well-intentioned academics can be misled by the simplistic narrative ‘CO2 = the boogeyman’, pursuing an idea that seems more like a high school hypothetical than sound scientific inquiry.
Shifting Baseline Syndrome
Shifting baseline syndrome, first introduced by marine biologist Daniel Pauly in 1995, suggests that successive generations fail to recognize gradual environmental degradation because they perceive the conditions of their youth as normal.
Despite its lack of robust empirical evidence, the concept has becoming an increasingly popular tool for the AGW Party used to dismiss current anomalous cold events.
Critics like Judith Curry and Richard Lindzen argue that shifting baseline syndrome is more about manipulating public perception than providing a clear understanding of environmental changes.
Curry, a prominent climate scientist, has called it a convenient excuse for those who want to normalize extreme heat while dismissing local cooling trends and other forms of natural climate variability.
The latest MSM spiel states: “The burning of fossil fuels has pushed Earth’s temperature 1.5C higher than averages seen before industrialization, a shift we’ve experienced for over a year. Intriguingly, despite this global trend, some areas report unexpected cold.”
This cold, rather than even accepted as a part of natural variability, is now often attributed to shifting baseline syndrome.
For instance, residents in the UK are experiencing a notably cool summer, “which has led to increased climate skepticism,” reports devdiscourse.com (heaven forbid).
Matthew Patterson, an atmospheric physicist from the University of Reading, claims current UK temperatures have been close to historical averages. But pick your averages. June in England was -0.1C below the old and cold 1961-1990 era. And July, to the 9th, is tracking a substantial -1.9C below this era, and in turn is making for the 11th-coldest July in 359-years of record keeping, tied with the Julys of 1685, 1965, 1674, and 1713.
No, it isn’t the ‘shifting baseline syndrome’ making this summer feel cool—it has been cool, historically so, as per the data.
As always, real-world observations, like those in the UK, provide a more accurate picture than broad, generalized theories.
SHIFTING BASELINE SYNDROME — A constant is the alarmisis’ warm- and fear-mongering and their “adjustment” of the data always pointing to global boiling.
That said, my area, in the SE USA, is having a hot time – but it is July and it historically gets hot in the NH in July.
I hope Hillary, Obama and all those elite fools at the Hamptons enjoy the stench from all of the dead fish, shark & WHALES!!!! I will laff my ass off if that happens 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤢🤢🤢🤢🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤮🤮🤮 Breath Deep Hillary…that ain’t you😜🤢🤮
The computer modelling for the weather predictions are starting to differ on the cold, at least for the South East Of Queensland, Cap.
I was seeing snow fall forecasts for the Granite belt in Southern Queensland, But I think the winds will turn more westerly, and reduce the amount of cold drawn from Antarctica and will reduce the chance of moisture.
It depends on the movement of the Low pressure system in the Tasman sea and the high pressure system in the southern ocean. One model has the low moving west and on to the Land through NSW and the High pressure moving north on to south Australia, which will drag in more northwesterly and much warmer winds.
This time of year the westerly winds, with gusts over 50Km/h just dry every thing out, the humidity drops, we end up with lots of dust and a much higher chance of bush fires increased, due to the vegetation also drying out, our dams normally start to loose lots of water and like most winters will dry up. Our dam is currently down to about 10% of normal, due to a dry period recently, we had around 10% humidity, trees and undergrowth were drying up. We had to get a truck load of water delivered, as we are on rain water tanks only. it is ironic, that the bloke who was to deliver the water, rings you to say it pouring down raining, as he was filling the truck in town which is at the base of the mountain, and he would have to wait to deliver until the next day as the mountain road is too slippery for the truck weighing 28ton with a full load of water on it. but it rained for the week after we had the water delivered. that should see us through to another wet and mild summer.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/au/sydney/22889/july-weather/22889
https://www.accuweatheseventeen inches of new snow in the next ten days where
https://www.accuweather.com/en/au/canberra/21921/july-weather/21921
https://www.windy.com/-Menu/menu?snowAccu,next10d,-36.398,148.590,6,i:pressure,m:cErakim
https://www.windy.com/-Menu/menu?snowcover,2024072018,-36.878,145.529,6,i:pressure,m:cExakip
https://www.windy.com/-Menu/menu?sst,2024072018,-37.415,148.297,7,i:pressure,m:cEGakmv
https://www.windy.com/-Menu/menu?sst,7.483,125.411,4,i:pressure,m:d04ajMI
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000myfa/executive
https://storage.roundshot.com/5d8367d3a33008.07256823/2024-07-11/20-50-00/2024-07-11-20-50-00_default.jpg
Hi I am writing as I am wondering what is causing the record cold winter Australia is experiencing Darwin is experiencing very slight cool night temperatures. The BOM originally forecast a warm winter now Australia is experiencing a record breaking cold winter. I thought winter would be warm because the sun is active and producing more solar radiation I thought winter would be warmer since the sun is producing more solar radiation. Is the Tonga eruption behind the colder than usual Australian winter? Since water vapour can turn to clouds and enhance a cooling effect? Also what will Australia summer be like in 2024/2025? Will it be cold and wet? Also is this a sign of global cooling occurring/happening faster than expected?
One winter does not a climate make. Weather is variable. Let’s see what happens next winter.
Winters have been getting cooler since 2020 here in Australia. I notice short term cooling trend since 2020.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/au/darwin/13718/july-weather/13718
Global cooling faster than expected look at the UAH GT chart, it’s not.
Record heat at the equator rises pulling cold air down at the poles. The hotter it gets at equator the more it pulls cold down from space at the S Pole. Cool air replaces the hot air rising.at the equator from solar flares all year.
Look at the temps on those Accuweather links for July not even below average not even cold.
Electron chart were not in energy spike now between alignments it’s not constant energy influx at solar max.
https://www.solen.info/solar/images/electronfluence.png
From what we read, the BoM always predicts “warmer than normal” “hottest ever” etc, for every upcoming quarter.
One person living in Australia said the BoM bases their predictions on what their climate models indicate rather than on observng real-world conditions.
I thought they were doing that everywhere now.
Accuweather says 90f here tomorrow. MSNBC says 82f. Windy.com says 86f. NWS says 87f. Not going to be cold I know that only thing not to worry about.
Next planetary alignment next Sunday on the Full Moon, Mercury opposite Jupiter.
Red at the top on GONG is the dark area on the Coronal sat view. A filiment. Those can cause filament solar flares not from sunspots and can be worser. Halo filament eruption. Dark areas lower on the Sun the Green on GONG.
https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/QR/bqG/202407/mrbqG240712/mrbqG240712t1904c2286_129.gif
https://www.spaceweather.com/images2024/12jul24/coronalhole_sdo_blank.jpg
A bit chilly in Oz doesn’t mean it’s global cooling or prove SC26 will be very very weak and it’s going to get very very cold. Random spoofy trivia.
https://www.windy.com/-Menu/menu?snowcover,2024072100,-37.200,155.006,4,i:pressure,m:cEOakiu
What is going on with this view? Looks like a cyclone on the eastern side of Australia. Or is that something else altogether?
Switch to wind gusts on Windy, right now at 02:30am Saturday morning it’s gusting 79mph there off SE Oz. Heat pushing South off Vanuatu Volcano and cold up from down under going into SE
Oz on the temp map. Switch to SO2.
Heat from Vanuatu driver of the cyclone pulls cold air up from S Pole. Vanuatu erupts from solar activity causes a cyclone with a cold front and then here the cold is from solar quiet GSM.
Volcanos from solar flares causing the cooler temps in Oz since the solar cycle started then here it gets blamed on no flares GSM. Skewed perspective.
https://www.windy.com/-Menu/menu?sst,-29.811,157.958,5,i:pressure,m:cYzakOU
Wow! It’s starting to make sense! Is it possible you’re not just full of hot air, Dirk?
Meridional jet stream is heat rising from solar activity, when the solar activity stops we go La Nina zonal. If it’s not heat from solar flares it’s heat from solar wind from coronal holes Sun’s only quiet when the polar fields stabilize at the poles for a brief time then it rolls the other way when the polarities start to flip again, the solar cycle. Watch the polarities flip on GONG on the month on month movie going back to 2006 slow the speed down use reverse use the controls.
https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/mqf_movie.html
Winter ’08/’09 here was record snow/rain there was no corn crop. zonal flow from Asia. ’98 here was record rain from La Nina zonal flow from Asia. I was watching weather sats on the net full time 24/7/365 when awake waiting for the mud to dry up so I could make money and buy a house while paying rent and child support, broke. Rain and more rain and snow and mud. Erosion control using acres of sheets of plastic and sandbags and rope. Wind gusts tear it all up have to fix it in the rainy muddy cold to make a buck. 2010 &’11 still La Nina rain until the solar flares started, warmer ever since, no global cooling. 88F here yesterday back up to 92F this Tuesday, 90F Friday. another hot/dry Summer.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/eldon/98555/july-weather/2157602
What else would it be? There’s more than one on the map every day and you finally noticed one after five years of me showing them on here and at IAN as Oly.
https://www.windy.com/-Pressure-pressure?pressure,-55.763,0.862,3,i:pressure,m:2SafMg
It’s just that you spew out so much stuff! I burn out very easily. When I see a mountain of information, my brain just turns off. The shorter you can make it, the better I’ll understand it.
NZ cold start to Winter Friday’s top news headline on the planet major crises situation. Aukland NZ warmer than ave all month. BFD. NZ snow total for the year is a bust. No big new snow NZ on the ten day forecast.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/nz/auckland/252066/july-weather/252066
https://www.windy.com/-Menu/menu?snowAccu,next10d,-42.104,170.580,6,i:pressure
Thick wildfire smoke Eastern Washinton USA on the Mission Ridge cam looking North to Canada, temp 100F today. Zero percent of ave snowpack from solar flares all year.
https://www.missionridge.com/mountain-report/#webcam
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/wenatchee/98801/july-weather/336354
https://washingtonstatestandard.com/briefs/washington-issues-burn-ban-on-state-lands/#:~:text=A%20burn%20ban%20is%20in%20effect%20for%20all,will%20go%20until%20at%20least%20Sept.%2030%2C%202024.
70F at Mt Hood, skiing is open daily 7-2. I have never seen Mt Hood in person, didn’t even know there was a volcano there only been to Oregon a few times. There’s nothing like that here in Washington and Whistler/Blackcomb BC aren’t as awesome. Mt Baker Ski area isn’t on Mt Baker like Timberline on Hood. If I knew Hood was there and looked like that I would have moved there fifty years ago. I just had no idea there was anything that awesome just East of Portland Oregon. I want to ski it from the top.
https://www.timberlinelodge.com/conditions
Mt Hood is a beautiful mountain, but Mt St Helens was even more perfect. It broke my dad’s heart when she blew her top. He said she was the Mt Fuji of the West.
I’m surprised you’re still able to ski. Most retired people have knee problems. And don’t you have a bad back?
No ski area on St Helens I would have moved to Mt Hood to ski year round. Oh no I can’t ski now. I can’t take my boat out just getting it ready to go ferks me up. So I split more wood yesterday. Priority number one. I’m still recovering from loading four loads of firewood on Memorial Day May 27th. Popped a vert. One more ton of that left to split and stack next week then I’ll have two stacks twenty feet long four feet tall. Then I’m going to move all that firewood in my mud room and garage until October it’s all drying in the Sun first.
How much wood could a woodchuck chuck the inevitable question. Finite equation
Storing anything becomes a problem. Food storage is a nightmare. Consider how much food you eat in a year! Not everyone has a place to store that much food. Firewood is another example. Think of all the people living in apartments nowadays. We live in a very precarious society. It’s amazing how long it has rolled along without a major disaster. But a lot more people used to live in houses, in small towns and in the country, and the houses were made for no AC and wood heat, with root cellars and such.
I just got a small hacksaw from Amazon. I’m going to start cutting up firewood with it. Hopefully it works. I had a mini chainsaw, but it quit working. My firewood ranges from tiny twigs I can snap off by hand, for kindling, to huge logs 3″ in diameter, lol. The joys of having a mini woodstove.
Deb I notice winters in Australia has been getting cooler since 2020 and even the summers are cold since 2020. Last year in Australia we had a very cool summer despite having El Niño and an active sun. Would four years of cool winters and summers be some kind of climate indication of a more cooling in the future? Australia hasn’t experienced scorching summer since the 2019 summer.
Abraham –
I am not a climatologist. However, at this point in time, it is difficult to trust climatologists or any scientists or anyone in authority or anyone pushing their own views on the Internet. We are pretty much left to our own reasoning and common sense.
I am a Christian and I try to live my life one day at a time and trust in God to take care of me in the future. He has never let me down yet. Whatever happens, whether climate disasters, financial meltdowns, earthquakes, wars or solar catastrophes, He will take me by the hand and lead me through it.
Having said that, we are still expected to do our part. If I were in your shoes, and the situation is as you describe, I would be stocking up on high quality winter wear, firewood, freeze-dried meat and so on. It can’t hurt to be prepared.
thanks Cap.